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23.03.22

Landslide in South Australia is coming for Morrison thanks to green-left Liberals

The most unnerving feature for the Morrison Government of Saturday’s election result in South Australia is that the Weekend Australian’s exclusive Newspoll, published on Saturday, correctly forecast the state-wide swing against the Liberal Government.

If that Newspoll was correct, what does it say about the last federal Newspoll, on March 13, with Mr Albanese drawing level with Mr Morrison as preferred Prime Minister and the Coalition on 35 per cent primary vote, Labor on 41; and the two-party preferred, 55 to 45 to Labor.

If that Newspoll is right, then the landslide we saw in South Australia is heading towards Canberra.

People on the ground, on Saturday, in South Australia, spoke of a massive pro-Labor sentiment, such that with eight seats still undecided, the Liberals have won only nine out of 47, while the ALP has already won 26.

The South Australian primary vote mirrors the Newspoll national vote earlier this month, 40.4 per cent to the Labor party, on Saturday, a swing of 7.6 per cent; the Liberal party decimated with 34.7 per cent of the vote.

The Morrison Government will go to a May poll with only 75 seats because Craig Kelly has defected and the seat of Stirling in WA has been abolished in the redistribution.

You need a minimum of 76 seats in a 151 seat House of Representatives.

On Saturday’s figures, very few Liberal seats are safe.

Mawson, south of Adelaide, was marginal Labor last Friday.

It is now a 14.4 per cent safe Labor seat, a swing of 16 per cent.

The once safe Liberal seat of Davenport, in Adelaide’s southern suburbs, fell into Labor hands with a two-party preferred swing of 12.2 per cent.

As I write, the outgoing Premier Marshall is trailing the Labor Party candidate on preferences by a handful of votes but has suffered a 7.6 per cent swing.

I well recall the night Marshall became Premier.

His first utterance was something to do with fighting climate change and you could feel the core of the Liberal Party shudder.

You don’t have to go too far to find the answers and they are not exclusive to South Australia.

The Liberal member for the marginal seat of Boothby, Nicolle Flint, wrote in the Adelaide Advertiser on Monday, “Time and time again, so-called ‘wet’, ‘moderate’, or ‘small-l’ Liberal Governments fail in South Australia.”

No, Nicolle, put the full stop in after “fail”.

If the Liberal Party want to win votes, they have to stop talking about “moderates” because they are anything but moderate, more left-wing than many in the Labor Party.

Christopher Pyne has boasted about it, yet the Pyne and Birmingham clique, in South Australia, has been soundly dumped.

Wasn’t it Pyne who, in 2017, triumphantly proclaimed that the “moderates” were “in the winner’s circle,” boasting that Turnbull was now Prime Minister and he had always supported Turnbull over Abbott in partyroom ballots.

Said Pyne, in 2017, “Two years ago… Malcolm Turnbull was the Communications Minister and now he is the Prime Minister… I would say that our fortunes are pretty good at the moment… There was a time when people said it wouldn’t happen but George [Brandis] and I kept the faith. We voted for Malcolm Turnbull in every ballot he has ever been in.”

Well, Australians have seen where that took both the Liberal Party and the nation, and now, the ultimate rejection in South Australia.

As the South Australian Liberal Senator Alex Antic said, “The South Australian Liberal Party has spent the last four years trying to dance with Labor and Greens voters while the quiet South Australians were left on the sidelines wondering why they even bothered to turn up.”

The reality is, governments in South Australia and Canberra no longer adhere to centre-right ideals.

And this is the profound difficulty for the Liberals.

They currently can’t work out or define what they stand for.

As John Ferguson accurately wrote, yesterday, of the Liberal Party, “It needs to find a way to end more than 50 years of tribal nonsense, embrace the regions and recruit and promote the best from all factions.”

The ultimate metaphor of all of this is the Prime Minister himself because conservative voters are deserting by the hour.

Where will we build a dam to capture flood waters?

Can the Government guarantee baseload power and its price?

Wasn’t it Mr Morrison who walked into the Parliament, in 2017, with a chunk of coal in his hand but now commits Australia to net-zero emissions by 2050.

Hardworking Liberal supporters are asking what does the Coalition really stand for?

Make no mistake, if Pyne, et al. including the Prime Minister think the “moderates” should prevail, sometimes called “progressives”, then you are handing the Liberal Party over to a left-wing rabble with no relevance to the traditional Liberal voter.

Put simply, this left-wing cabal infecting the Liberal Party are not “progressive” at all but seriously “regressive”.