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07.12.21

HOW CLOSE IS MORRISON TO THE EXIT DOOR?

Well, another Newspoll where 47 percent of voters believe Labor will win the next election and only 37 percent believe it will be the Coalition. The two-party preferred 53-47; and, for the first time since March last year, Anthony Albanese leads Scott Morrison on approval figures.

His net negative approval is minus 6; Scott Morrison’s is now minus 8.

When I was the speechwriter for Malcolm Fraser, everyday he made a simple point. If we can get all genuine liberal people to vote Liberal, we’ll win the election.

Scott Morrison continues to drift in the polls because he inhabits a virtual policy vacuum.

It might give some a warm inner glow, but all this nonsense about Glasgow impresses very few Liberal voters.

They worry why their children were locked out of school; they worry why their leader instituted an unconstitutional national cabinet which merely empowered Labor Premiers; they worry why, in the mayhem that these Premiers have created, the Prime Minister remains silent.

The combined total debt of States and Territories will reach 159 per cent of operating revenues by 2024.

In dollar terms, the State debt will more than double between 2019 and 2024 from $270 billion to $588 billion; and Victoria will lead the charge.

Their debt will triple what it was in 2019.

Of course, low interest rates keep borrowing costs “manageable” but that won’t go on for years; and the two most locked down States, Victoria and New South Wales, are unlikely to gain their triple A credit ratings “in the next few years” according to the credit rating analysts Standard and Poors.

In any normal circumstances, a Federal Government whose disproportionate response to Coronavirus sees Australia heading towards a trillion dollars of debt – such a government would be out the door, except the voter is then prompted to consider Anthony Albanese.

Jennie George was the first female ACTU president and a Labor Federal Parliamentary member for nine years.
She has described Anthony Albanese’s climate change pledge to create 604,000 new jobs as “unbelievable”, which would make the ink go dry on the Labor party’s political suicide note. 604,000 new jobs but only 64,000 are direct jobs; 540,000, indirect.

As Jennie George rightly says, “the multiplier effect used in Labor’s promise of 540,000 indirect jobs is so high as to make it unbelievable”.

She makes the perfectly valid point that steel, which is the backbone of the Illawarra regional economy, has a multiplier effect of 3-5 for every direct job, so as Jennie George said, “how did Labor’s modelling arrive at an extraordinary multiplier of 9 in calculating the number of promised ‘indirect’ jobs”; and as she rightly says, “while much has been made of the supposed jobs to be created, no mention was made of the job losses under Labor’s plans”.

Well may we ask if 64,000 direct jobs will be created, what happens to the 100,000 workers in coal mining, integrated steel making, fossil fuel generation, gas and oil extraction?

What must Meryl Swanson be thinking who represents the marginal Hunter coal-mining seat of Paterson. She says, “I want people who are in good, secure, blue-collar mining and industrial jobs to feel secure and for them to know I am fighting for them”.

Meryl Swanson is an outstanding representative of these people, people whom she rightly says have, “literally poured blood, sweat and tears into this region”.

Labor will argue that outfits like the Business Council of Australia are supporting big business driving down emissions in what will virtually be a carbon price; but, of course, big business has foregone, some time ago, any commitment to the worker.

If it’s a cost to big business they merely pass it on the consumer.

The fact that Labor says they’re supporting what business wants is little comfort to the bloke in the Jackie Howe singlet.

Jackie Howe was a legendary Australian sheep shearer at the end of the 19th century from whom the singlet takes its name.

The most astonishing thing about the Labor announcement is that amidst all the contradictions about jobs, Anthony Albanese said it was time, “to put the climate wars behind us…”, when he has walked back onto the political battlefield of climate change where Labor have been beaten election after election.

It may well be that the only person who can save Scott Morrison is Anthony Albanese.

But, even then, Mr Morrison may be so far behind that the ground can’t be made up.